The impending outcome of the U.S. election brings with it a potential change in American policy toward China. Drawing reference from a report by Godzilla Newz, this article discusses the numerous stakes China has in the U.S elections and why, despite this, they are not openly supporting any particular candidate.
To begin, one of the major factors that caught the world’s attention during the previous U.S. term was the trade war with China. Under the Trump administration, a series of tariffs and tax increases were implemented, resulting in heightened economic tension between the two giant economies. Depending on who comes into power after this election, these policies could either be extended, adjusted or completely halted. Thus, China stands the chance of either resolving or sustaining this economic turmoil based on the election’s end result.
Furthermore, this election’s outcome could potentially change the approach towards ongoing technological rivalry. President Trump has been particularly stringent on Chinese technological corporations like Huawei and TikTok due to concerns around national security. He has enforced restrictions that limit their capacity to operate in the U.S. These actions have led to major repercussions for Chinese companies, constituting another major stake for China in the U.S. election.
Apart from economic impacts, the electoral outcome has possible implications on geopolitical affairs. The Trump administration has been firm in its stance on Chinese territorial claims in the South China Sea. Tensions have escalated in this region, with more American naval operations sent to counter China’s military presence. Should there be a change in American leadership, China might experience a modified approach towards these geopolitical issues.
Despite these stakes, it is striking to note that China isn’t overtly supporting any candidate. There are possible explanations for this seemingly neutral stance. Historically, China has often avoided direct interference or vocal support in foreign political matters, adhering to its policy of non-intervention. This policy mirrors the nation’s long-standing strategic patience, a doctrine of waiting out situations and adapting to outcomes rather than trying to forcefully manipulate them.
Additionally, given the unpredictability of both the electoral process and the actions of the elected, China might prefer to remain neutral to mitigate potential backlash or implications for choosing a side. The coming administration, whether led by President Trump or Joe Biden, would likely scrutinize any overt support from a geopolitical competitor like China. Consequently, their neutrality could be seen as a defensive diplomatic strategy.
Lastly, this neutrality may stem from uncertainty about how either candidate’s victory might affect China. While Trump’s policies might be more familiar, they could remain unfavorable. In contrast, although a shift in leadership could lead to policy changes, these changes are uncertain and could also potentially disadvantage China. Thus, recognising this uncertainty, China seems to be choosing a cautious stance.
In conclusion, whilst the U.S. elections may have significant implications for China, through spheres of trade, technology, and territorial claims, China’s seemingly neutral stance can be seen as a maneuver of strategic patience. It is a clear testament to their non-interference policy and highlights their cautious approach in navigating uncertainties of international relations. The world watches as this political event unfolds and as the impacts on China-US relations begin to materialize.